| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.885 |
$5.20 |
$3.38 |
+185.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
6 |
0.705 |
$4.41 |
$1.41 |
+46.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
6 |
0.540 |
$3.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.125 |
$2.40 |
$-3.16 |
-56.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.245 |
$2.28 |
$-1.72 |
-43.0% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.260 |
$2.19 |
$-0.84 |
-27.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.255 |
$2.10 |
$-0.96 |
-31.2% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
Yes |
13 |
0.145 |
$1.82 |
$-1.21 |
-39.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
12 |
0.070 |
$0.85 |
$-2.18 |
-71.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
34 |
0.019 |
$0.67 |
$-1.39 |
-67.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.034 |
$0.46 |
$-2.54 |
-84.5% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.048 |
$0.10 |
$0.02 |
+30.0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.025 |
$0.04 |
$0.00 |
+10.0% |