PnL (30d)

−$54

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$45

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-46.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

13W / 19L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

29W / 36L

Trades (30d)

65

across 46 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$2.47

avg win $3 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.33

$27 won / $81 lost

Reward / Risk

0.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.6% 13W/19L	46	$238
⚽ Sports	—	7	$27
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	263	0.298	$78.54	$58.04	+283.1%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	61	0.255	$15.44	$4.44	+40.4%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	13	0.865	$11.28	$-0.72	-6.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	13	0.460	$6.00	$1.00	+20.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16	0.360	$5.71	$-1.29	-18.4%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	26	0.205	$5.39	$0.39	+7.9%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	42	0.125	$5.21	$0.21	+4.2%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	23	0.220	$5.13	$2.13	+70.9%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	10	0.510	$5.07	$1.07	+26.7%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	17	0.295	$4.92	$-0.08	-1.7%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	33	0.145	$4.83	$-0.17	-3.3%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	14	0.355	$4.80	$-0.20	-4.1%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	62	0.075	$4.69	$-0.31	-6.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	39	0.117	$4.53	$-1.57	-25.7%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	36	0.125	$4.46	$-0.54	-10.7%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	175	0.025	$4.44	$-0.56	-11.2%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	19	0.215	$4.13	$-0.87	-17.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	51	0.075	$3.80	$-2.20	-36.7%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	8	0.455	$3.76	$-0.24	-5.9%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	35	0.095	$3.35	$0.35	+11.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16	0.209	$3.35	$0.35	+11.6%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	26	0.115	$2.96	$-1.04	-26.1%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	6	0.405	$2.38	$0.38	+19.1%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	5	0.395	$1.93	$-0.07	-3.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	46	0.038	$1.76	$-2.24	-56.0%