| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
30,000 |
0.790 |
$23,715.00 |
$8,715.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
8,200 |
0.985 |
$8,072.89 |
$42.62 |
+0.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.209 |
$6,285.00 |
$-8,715.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.865 |
$6,055.10 |
$180.15 |
+3.1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
6,001 |
0.941 |
$5,646.57 |
$1,335.38 |
+31.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
5,000 |
0.875 |
$4,375.00 |
$33.34 |
+0.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
2,888 |
0.995 |
$2,872.55 |
$16.57 |
+0.6% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
4,738 |
0.603 |
$2,856.90 |
$-284.88 |
-9.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,334 |
0.815 |
$2,716.52 |
$-76.49 |
-2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
3,063 |
0.865 |
$2,649.46 |
$16.87 |
+0.6% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
2,550 |
0.994 |
$2,534.70 |
$427.95 |
+20.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
2,473 |
0.976 |
$2,412.43 |
$30.99 |
+1.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,149 |
0.455 |
$2,342.60 |
$-413.49 |
-15.0% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
2,536 |
0.904 |
$2,292.78 |
$91.36 |
+4.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
2,467 |
0.924 |
$2,281.06 |
$54.40 |
+2.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
3,333 |
0.675 |
$2,249.78 |
$143.17 |
+6.8% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? |
Yes |
2,141 |
0.945 |
$2,023.23 |
$160.57 |
+8.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
2,000 |
0.971 |
$1,941.00 |
$-7.00 |
-0.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
2,311 |
0.830 |
$1,917.97 |
$-67.32 |
-3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
2,822 |
0.665 |
$1,876.75 |
$-24.43 |
-1.3% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,850 |
0.992 |
$1,835.18 |
$312.70 |
+20.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
1,803 |
0.973 |
$1,753.16 |
$27.18 |
+1.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
1,716 |
1.000 |
$1,714.99 |
$439.50 |
+34.5% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,700 |
0.919 |
$1,562.30 |
$-3.69 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
3,124 |
0.485 |
$1,515.04 |
$303.11 |
+25.0% |