PnL (30d)

−$123

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

202W / 214L · 31 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

209W / 236L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

447

across 30 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

−$5.35

avg win $4 · loss $17

Profit Factor

0.29

$51 won / $174 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$150

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.6% 202W/214L	30	$5,613
🏛 Politics	100.0% 80W/0L	8	$1,629
💵 Economy	100.0% 80W/0L	6	$1,622
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/172L	3	$3,055
₿ Crypto	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50	0.455	$22.76	$-5.25	-18.7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	5	0.485	$2.37	$-0.51	-17.8%