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Trader

0xd837a0de2c7298045b8a1ecceb367ecd0f0b2af7
PnL (30d)
−$18
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
104W / 56L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
112W / 61L
Trades (30d)
173
across 13 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$2.52
avg win $1 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.17
$4 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3 · all-time $82,403

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.0% 104W/56L 13 $873
🏛 Politics 2 $19

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 89 0.685 $60.67 $10.84 +21.8%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 53 0.853 $44.81 $2.81 +6.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 32 0.823 $26.30 $9.45 +56.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 24 0.835 $19.72 $2.95 +17.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 94 0.145 $13.58 $-8.21 -37.7%
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No 17 0.765 $12.67 $-0.65 -4.9%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 18 0.485 $8.55 $1.50 +21.2%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 15 0.445 $6.50 $-0.36 -5.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 7 0.460 $3.43 $0.51 +17.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 4 0.615 $2.60 $-0.57 -18.0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 3 0.675 $2.27 $0.02 +0.7%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 3 0.455 $1.25 $0.07 +5.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 18 0.025 $0.44 $-2.98 -87.2%