0xOctopus
0xd832d1ecb3e88723db5eb9a81a8a227648b267e0
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$7
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
4W / 13L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
10W / 13L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
27
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.48
avg win $3 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.42
$5 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
0.63
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,260 · all-time $277,832
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
132 |
0.055 |
$7.24 |
$-4.24 |
-36.9% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO? |
Yes |
30 |
0.042 |
$1.24 |
$-1.75 |
-58.5% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox |
Atlanta Braves |
2 |
0.510 |
$1.04 |
$0.04 |
+4.1% |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.032 |
$0.32 |
$-4.08 |
-92.8% |