jurk0
0xd7ea6b24e73d178edfb9af838ede14debe72ea62
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$103
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
6W / 17L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
31W / 25L
Trades (30d)
56
across 21 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$17.21
avg win $17 · loss $51
Profit Factor
0.33
$50 won / $153 lost
Reward / Risk
0.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,978 · all-time $472,407
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner |
Top Esports |
528 |
1.000 |
$527.46 |
$44.24 |
+9.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
484 |
1.000 |
$483.76 |
$93.18 |
+23.9% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner |
Hanwha Life Esports |
200 |
1.000 |
$199.90 |
$69.90 |
+53.8% |
| National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNally |
Linda Noskova |
205 |
0.765 |
$156.82 |
$-1.02 |
-0.6% |
| National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca |
Joao Fonseca |
205 |
0.585 |
$119.92 |
$-1.02 |
-0.8% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
102 |
1.000 |
$101.95 |
$22.08 |
+27.6% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
400 |
0.235 |
$94.00 |
$-14.00 |
-13.0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.095 |
$76.00 |
$-36.00 |
-32.1% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? |
Yes |
327 |
0.190 |
$62.13 |
$-16.35 |
-20.8% |