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Trader leaderboard/darek19

darek19

0xd761b1d0a2b46d57c1fe1e5bee6bc376a0e6a957
PnL (30d)
−$19
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
6W / 9L · 78 open
Win Return (30d)
82%
75W / 17L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
93
across 27 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.62
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.14
$3 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45 · all-time $8,745

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.0% 6W/9L 27 $138
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $20
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 51 0.143 $7.33 $2.53 +52.7%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 319 0.022 $7.01 $2.23 +46.7%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 123 0.052 $6.48 $1.48 +29.6%
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? No 6 1.000 $6.20 $1.24 +24.9%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 13 0.460 $5.89 $1.03 +21.2%
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No 12 0.505 $5.83 $0.98 +20.2%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 7 0.885 $5.82 $0.82 +16.4%
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? No 6 0.983 $5.45 $0.46 +9.2%
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 5 0.984 $5.40 $0.41 +8.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.925 $5.35 $0.38 +7.6%
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 5 0.986 $5.31 $0.32 +6.4%
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No 7 0.715 $5.26 $0.33 +6.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 5 0.963 $5.18 $0.19 +3.7%
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No 5 0.998 $5.15 $0.16 +3.3%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes 6 0.925 $5.13 $0.14 +2.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat? Yes 5 0.935 $5.07 $0.08 +1.6%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 10 0.485 $5.07 $0.16 +3.2%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 5 0.980 $5.06 $0.09 +1.7%
Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 5 0.987 $5.05 $0.08 +1.7%
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 5 0.994 $5.01 $0.04 +0.8%
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.03 +0.7%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? No 6 0.885 $5.00 $0.03 +0.6%
Will another outcome occur in the NY-07 Democratic Primary? No 5 0.999 $4.98 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? No 5 1.000 $4.97 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? No 5 0.999 $4.97 $0.00 +0.0%