| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.948 |
$9,480.14 |
$498.07 |
+5.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$595.00 |
+14.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
4,500 |
0.957 |
$4,304.25 |
$255.30 |
+6.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.870 |
$2,174.92 |
$780.78 |
+56.0% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
1,750 |
0.933 |
$1,633.62 |
$295.17 |
+22.1% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
No |
2,000 |
0.760 |
$1,520.00 |
$200.00 |
+15.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.735 |
$1,470.00 |
$-110.00 |
-7.0% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.956 |
$956.00 |
$86.00 |
+9.9% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
4,558 |
0.170 |
$774.86 |
$-787.43 |
-50.4% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
541 |
0.998 |
$539.54 |
$70.84 |
+15.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
Yes |
599 |
0.880 |
$527.10 |
$35.94 |
+7.3% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? |
No |
755 |
0.335 |
$253.09 |
$43.89 |
+21.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.480 |
$240.25 |
$-1.95 |
-0.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.135 |
$135.00 |
$-318.42 |
-70.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
446 |
0.135 |
$60.04 |
$13.61 |
+29.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,868 |
0.009 |
$32.88 |
$-34.97 |
-51.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
40 |
0.525 |
$20.99 |
$11.40 |
+118.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,227 |
0.005 |
$16.14 |
$-9.56 |
-37.2% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
Yes |
870 |
0.018 |
$15.66 |
$-80.81 |
-83.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.004 |
$9.00 |
$-7.00 |
-43.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
886 |
0.004 |
$3.10 |
$-5.79 |
-65.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.275 |
$1.10 |
$0.26 |
+31.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
414 |
0.002 |
$0.62 |
$-3.10 |
-83.3% |