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Trader leaderboard/GenaTheBondKilIer

GenaTheBondKilIer

0xd6321c049c527e8a622d6aa35f514ae74f798afb
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$373
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$39
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+49.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
18W / 5L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
44W / 12L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
59
across 16 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$93.15
avg win $126 · loss $6
Profit Factor
67.81
$378 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
22.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,564 · all-time $1,911,567

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 82.1% 138W/30L 76 $11,751
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 9 $1,631
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 9 $1,518
₿ Crypto 3 $386
🏛 Politics 2 $251

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

77 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 1,067 0.811 $865.87 $-3.73 -0.4%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 626 0.905 $566.52 $150.93 +36.3%
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No 405 0.943 $382.27 $1.95 +0.5%
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? Yes 477 0.789 $376.67 $149.20 +65.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 357 0.835 $297.91 $105.42 +54.8%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 300 0.935 $280.50 $19.50 +7.5%
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No 260 0.933 $242.99 $7.82 +3.3%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? Yes 5,938 0.036 $216.74 $-59.42 -21.5%
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? No 256 0.810 $207.08 $15.49 +8.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $33.00 +21.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $9.00 +5.1%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.915 $183.00 $5.00 +2.8%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes 400 0.430 $172.00 $-53.00 -23.6%
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes 221 0.772 $171.09 $21.15 +14.1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 200 0.805 $161.00 $16.00 +11.0%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 150 0.971 $145.57 $7.57 +5.5%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026? No 203 0.645 $130.97 $11.30 +9.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 350 0.355 $124.25 $-82.25 -39.8%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 216 0.445 $96.05 $67.76 +239.5%
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes 378 0.240 $90.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? No 95 0.925 $87.88 $21.38 +32.1%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? No 100 0.860 $86.00 $-1.00 -1.1%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,677 0.046 $77.96 $-53.21 -40.6%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026? No 78 0.920 $71.81 $16.39 +29.6%
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? No 74 0.915 $67.74 $2.39 +3.7%