PnL (30d)

−$209

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

75W / 19L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

81%

85W / 20L

Trades (30d)

105

across 76 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$3.03

avg win $2 · loss $33

Profit Factor

0.36

$119 won / $328 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.8% 75W/19L	76	$7,305
🏛 Politics	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$1,003
🎬 Culture	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$1,003
⚽ Sports	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$55
🌤 Weather	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$39
💵 Economy	—	1	$55

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	725	0.996	$721.25	$5.25	+0.7%
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?	No	104	0.851	$88.54	$-13.46	-13.2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	61	0.986	$60.40	$0.40	+0.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	21	0.990	$21.21	$0.21	+1.0%