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Trader leaderboard/0xd5e3226B2D399B64063c3659ac93a670cbb6e379-1774853682065

0xd5e3226B2D399B64063c3659ac93a670cbb6e379-1774853682065

0xd5e3226b2d399b64063c3659ac93a670cbb6e379
PnL (30d)
−$748
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$213
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
117W / 36L · 532 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
639W / 46L
Trades (30d)
685
across 82 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$12.90
avg win $13 · loss $286
Profit Factor
0.48
$682 won / $1,430 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,112
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,431 · all-time $439,430

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.5% 117W/36L 82 $58,390
₿ Crypto 83.3% 10W/2L 15 $6,845
💵 Economy 32.3% 10W/21L 15 $11,399
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/23L 5 $6,630

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 3,244 0.984 $3,190.25 $28.94 +0.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 2,500 0.972 $2,430.01 $29.00 +1.2%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No 2,500 0.920 $2,299.99 $105.01 +4.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 2,000 0.945 $1,890.00 $30.00 +1.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 1,300 0.938 $1,219.40 $-44.81 -3.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 1,000 0.988 $987.50 $15.50 +1.6%
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.925 $925.00 $35.00 +3.9%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 1,000 0.855 $854.99 $-40.00 -4.5%
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch No 594 0.995 $590.60 $14.55 +2.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? No 590 0.971 $572.60 $-1.57 -0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? No 500 0.988 $493.75 $-1.25 -0.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 500 0.986 $492.75 $13.77 +2.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? No 500 0.985 $492.50 $10.50 +2.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 500 0.953 $476.25 $5.25 +1.1%
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.945 $472.50 $57.50 +13.9%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No 500 0.935 $467.50 $32.50 +7.5%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 500 0.915 $457.50 $27.50 +6.4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 500 0.886 $443.25 $92.75 +26.5%
Squid FDV above $300M one day after launch No 430 0.995 $427.62 $1.93 +0.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? No 405 0.993 $402.44 $4.86 +1.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? No 412 0.975 $401.49 $0.21 +0.1%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 600 0.665 $398.99 $24.00 +6.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? No 400 0.984 $393.60 $-0.40 -0.1%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.770 $385.00 $70.00 +22.2%
Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch Yes 300 0.986 $295.80 $-1.20 -0.4%