| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
714 |
0.964 |
$687.93 |
$71.85 |
+11.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
661 |
0.987 |
$651.86 |
$5.12 |
+0.8% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
657 |
0.888 |
$583.92 |
$2.22 |
+0.4% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
534 |
0.977 |
$521.93 |
$11.70 |
+2.3% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
390 |
0.995 |
$388.13 |
$11.96 |
+3.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
320 |
0.987 |
$316.15 |
$0.77 |
+0.2% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
335 |
0.903 |
$302.99 |
$15.64 |
+5.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
278 |
0.945 |
$262.31 |
$20.62 |
+8.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
250 |
0.985 |
$246.12 |
$5.45 |
+2.3% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.915 |
$228.88 |
$8.88 |
+4.0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
237 |
0.954 |
$225.85 |
$7.22 |
+3.3% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
216 |
0.978 |
$210.92 |
$8.09 |
+4.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
194 |
0.935 |
$181.36 |
$-0.97 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
161 |
0.935 |
$150.38 |
$10.45 |
+7.5% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
149 |
0.955 |
$142.47 |
$2.24 |
+1.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
147 |
0.955 |
$140.17 |
$1.00 |
+0.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
125 |
0.725 |
$90.88 |
$-4.39 |
-4.6% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
81 |
0.993 |
$80.45 |
$0.49 |
+0.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
57 |
0.957 |
$54.88 |
$1.92 |
+3.6% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? |
No |
59 |
0.915 |
$53.96 |
$3.64 |
+7.2% |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? |
No |
56 |
0.940 |
$52.64 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.976 |
$51.73 |
$-0.27 |
-0.5% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
55 |
0.870 |
$48.05 |
$2.28 |
+5.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.145 |
$36.25 |
$-131.25 |
-78.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
35 |
0.981 |
$34.80 |
$1.10 |
+3.2% |