| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
43,200 |
0.540 |
$23,349.60 |
$1,749.64 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
43,000 |
0.460 |
$19,758.50 |
$-1,741.50 |
-8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,400 |
0.865 |
$2,941.00 |
$160.00 |
+5.8% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
2,054 |
0.915 |
$1,880.58 |
$859.06 |
+84.1% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
1,900 |
0.983 |
$1,867.12 |
$175.79 |
+10.4% |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,923 |
0.888 |
$1,708.90 |
$88.90 |
+5.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
1,501 |
0.963 |
$1,444.95 |
$242.38 |
+20.2% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
Yes |
6,976 |
0.175 |
$1,220.78 |
$-1,195.76 |
-49.5% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
1,648 |
0.665 |
$1,095.97 |
$-33.03 |
-2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,271 |
0.855 |
$1,086.51 |
$260.51 |
+31.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
2,114 |
0.395 |
$834.84 |
$108.25 |
+14.9% |
| Will Congress override any veto in 2026? |
No |
874 |
0.928 |
$811.41 |
$129.41 |
+19.0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
1,765 |
0.405 |
$714.93 |
$-485.07 |
-40.4% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? |
No |
800 |
0.774 |
$619.60 |
$179.60 |
+40.8% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? |
No |
803 |
0.740 |
$594.02 |
$169.02 |
+39.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
No |
910 |
0.645 |
$586.70 |
$66.70 |
+12.8% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
597 |
0.962 |
$574.24 |
$31.04 |
+5.7% |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? |
No |
707 |
0.805 |
$569.39 |
$139.22 |
+32.4% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? |
No |
568 |
0.966 |
$548.29 |
$137.42 |
+33.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.355 |
$532.50 |
$77.50 |
+17.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,478 |
0.345 |
$509.87 |
$301.83 |
+145.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
500 |
0.987 |
$493.25 |
$34.75 |
+7.6% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
No |
640 |
0.750 |
$480.06 |
$145.06 |
+43.3% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.955 |
$477.48 |
$42.50 |
+9.8% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
1,004 |
0.461 |
$462.37 |
$-136.05 |
-22.7% |