PnL (30d)

−$114

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$36

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

79W / 87L · 102 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

151W / 116L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

268

across 79 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$2.24

avg win $2 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.36

$64 won / $178 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.6% 79W/87L	79	$2,982
₿ Crypto	84.6% 11W/2L	22	$292

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by August 31?	No	60	0.850	$51.00	$-2.00	-3.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	No	50	0.944	$47.17	$-0.33	-0.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	No	50	0.885	$44.25	$0.25	+0.6%
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?	No	50	0.765	$38.25	$1.75	+4.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	40	0.915	$36.60	$9.40	+34.6%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	No	30	0.902	$27.07	$-0.36	-1.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?	No	30	0.895	$26.85	$0.30	+1.1%
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	No	30	0.880	$26.40	$-0.60	-2.2%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by August 31?	Yes	41	0.635	$26.03	$16.68	+178.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?	No	30	0.850	$25.50	$-1.00	-3.8%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31?	Yes	27	0.910	$24.57	$4.62	+23.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?	No	30	0.815	$24.45	$-1.15	-4.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	25	0.945	$23.52	$3.61	+18.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10?	No	20	0.953	$19.05	$-0.05	-0.3%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31?	No	20	0.945	$18.90	$-0.32	-1.7%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31?	No	30	0.590	$17.70	$1.97	+12.5%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31?	No	20	0.880	$17.60	$0.60	+3.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	20	0.730	$14.60	$0.10	+0.7%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	18	0.820	$14.60	$3.89	+36.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	10	0.999	$9.98	$0.68	+7.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?	No	10	0.996	$9.96	$0.95	+10.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?	No	10	0.945	$9.45	$-0.05	-0.5%
Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August?	No	15	0.615	$9.22	$-3.83	-29.3%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in August?	No	5	0.990	$4.95	$0.05	+1.0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August?	No	5	0.805	$4.03	$-0.52	-11.5%