Log in
Trader leaderboard/mmmbop

mmmbop

0xd5555147366b7e5bfcea444f4a06a745c18be28a
PnL (30d)
+$574
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$556
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
381W / 181L · 47 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
413W / 187L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
609
across 260 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.37
avg win $33 · loss $83
Profit Factor
1.11
$5,876 won / $5,302 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,874 · all-time $1,531,379

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.8% 381W/181L 260 $47,465
💵 Economy 2 $664
🤖 Tech 2 $664
🏛 Politics 2 $3,774

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 8,964 0.980 $8,780.48 $158.74 +1.8%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31? No 2,478 0.989 $2,450.57 $321.16 +15.1%
AI bubble burst in 2026? No 2,419 0.839 $2,029.20 $305.72 +17.7%
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No 861 0.930 $800.37 $85.28 +11.9%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31? No 716 0.980 $701.10 $148.26 +26.8%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? No 507 0.975 $494.12 $43.08 +9.6%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No 200 0.990 $197.90 $5.90 +3.1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? No 196 0.940 $184.38 $83.84 +83.4%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 700 0.165 $115.50 $-94.50 -45.0%
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.760 $76.07 $-4.83 -6.0%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? No 73 0.905 $65.66 $6.17 +10.4%
Will Daniel Nokovich finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 59 1.000 $59.44 $1.50 +2.6%
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No 50 0.884 $44.22 $1.22 +2.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No 48 0.870 $41.44 $2.86 +7.4%
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? Yes 200 0.205 $41.00 $-98.00 -70.5%
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? No 31 0.975 $30.40 $2.87 +10.4%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? No 33 0.910 $30.33 $1.00 +3.4%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes 44 0.520 $22.71 $6.59 +40.9%
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No 19 0.875 $16.62 $0.85 +5.4%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? No 20 0.820 $16.40 $-1.80 -9.9%
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes 210 0.062 $13.02 $-15.33 -54.1%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes 32 0.365 $11.68 $-5.92 -33.6%
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes 50 0.100 $5.00 $-13.50 -73.0%
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? Yes 11 0.115 $1.26 $0.71 +130.0%