| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
411 |
0.955 |
$392.90 |
$11.38 |
+3.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
253 |
0.945 |
$239.09 |
$18.98 |
+8.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.117 |
$186.36 |
$-73.82 |
-28.4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
185 |
0.963 |
$177.99 |
$6.38 |
+3.7% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
636 |
0.275 |
$174.89 |
$6.82 |
+4.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
483 |
0.345 |
$166.67 |
$-46.07 |
-21.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
240 |
0.675 |
$161.68 |
$4.19 |
+2.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
157 |
0.845 |
$133.02 |
$84.22 |
+172.6% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
128 |
0.976 |
$124.94 |
$3.33 |
+2.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
139 |
0.835 |
$116.03 |
$10.81 |
+10.3% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
95 |
0.984 |
$93.72 |
$2.24 |
+2.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
88 |
0.952 |
$83.98 |
$3.91 |
+4.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
800 |
0.088 |
$70.80 |
$21.97 |
+45.0% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? |
No |
70 |
0.967 |
$67.65 |
$9.37 |
+16.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.966 |
$59.94 |
$3.57 |
+6.3% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.966 |
$59.89 |
$3.44 |
+6.1% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.974 |
$59.11 |
$4.53 |
+8.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
225 |
0.250 |
$56.29 |
$-3.50 |
-5.8% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,615 |
0.025 |
$41.01 |
$6.67 |
+19.4% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
No |
42 |
0.977 |
$40.90 |
$0.86 |
+2.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
48 |
0.830 |
$39.70 |
$3.55 |
+9.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.625 |
$37.35 |
$-2.69 |
-6.7% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
126 |
0.235 |
$29.50 |
$6.80 |
+29.9% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,381 |
0.009 |
$22.62 |
$1.19 |
+5.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
79 |
0.225 |
$17.77 |
$-17.67 |
-49.9% |