Preworkout
0xd4fa38126f74963d776e6a72cc45885067fb4a86
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$138
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+62.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
3W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
43%
3W / 4L
Trades (30d)
7
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$34.60
avg win $235 · loss $32
Profit Factor
2.43
$235 won / $96 lost
Reward / Risk
7.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$63
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $407,341
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
42.9%
3W/4L
|
4 |
$731 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
0.0%
0W/1L
|
1 |
$88 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
345 |
0.145 |
$50.00 |
$-50.00 |
-50.0% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.410 |
$41.00 |
$-12.00 |
-22.6% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.165 |
$16.50 |
$-2.50 |
-13.2% |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.505 |
$8.42 |
$-3.25 |
-27.9% |