| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
11 |
0.865 |
$9.37 |
$0.40 |
+4.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.959 |
$5.64 |
$-0.05 |
-0.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.835 |
$4.56 |
$0.53 |
+13.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
36 |
0.125 |
$4.55 |
$-1.45 |
-24.2% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
4 |
0.980 |
$4.27 |
$0.27 |
+6.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.940 |
$4.04 |
$1.04 |
+34.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.785 |
$3.74 |
$2.74 |
+273.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.210 |
$3.19 |
$-2.81 |
-46.8% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+55.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.250 |
$3.10 |
$-0.29 |
-8.5% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.03 |
$1.03 |
+51.4% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
4 |
0.715 |
$2.51 |
$-0.49 |
-16.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.35 |
$0.35 |
+17.3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.987 |
$2.27 |
$0.27 |
+13.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.680 |
$2.18 |
$0.18 |
+8.8% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.17 |
$0.17 |
+8.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.16 |
$0.16 |
+7.8% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.2% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.675 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.2% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.135 |
$1.93 |
$0.93 |
+92.9% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
2 |
0.918 |
$1.87 |
$-0.13 |
-6.3% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.805 |
$1.85 |
$-0.15 |
-7.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.356 |
$1.78 |
$-0.22 |
-11.2% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.715 |
$1.65 |
$-0.35 |
-17.6% |