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Trader leaderboard/NiFengFanPan

NiFengFanPan

0xd48a81db62f742c4e42d86dfc23a7ee345366e90
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$166,067
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$743
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
1,319W / 831L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
1,320W / 843L
Trades (30d)
2,163
across 383 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$435.87
avg win $4,395 · loss $5,945
Profit Factor
0.84
$892,232 won / $1,058,299 lost
Reward / Risk
0.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$55,992
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $646,526 · all-time $54,145,427

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.1% 1,396W/890L 445 $2,833,246
⚽ Sports 64.6% 106W/58L 80 $556,720

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 10,483 0.685 $7,180.97 $-136.00 -1.9%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Los Angeles Dodgers 14,582 0.465 $6,780.63 $-218.73 -3.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 5,487 0.615 $3,374.47 $-69.53 -2.0%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? No 4,762 0.665 $3,166.67 $166.67 +5.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 4,412 0.595 $2,625.18 $-1,074.45 -29.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 5,002 0.490 $2,450.96 $-1,249.04 -33.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 5,692 0.400 $2,276.92 $-1,423.07 -38.5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 5,135 0.440 $2,259.54 $-308.12 -12.0%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 Over 6,898 0.300 $2,069.46 $-933.01 -31.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 3,077 0.625 $1,923.08 $-76.92 -3.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 2,020 0.865 $1,747.67 $747.67 +74.8%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 755 0.825 $622.82 $222.82 +55.7%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No 427 0.970 $414.20 $14.20 +3.6%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 1,580 0.065 $102.70 $-197.50 -65.8%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,250 0.015 $90.62 $-9.38 -9.4%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 38 0.845 $32.30 $13.19 +69.0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 31 0.440 $13.77 $-1.22 -8.1%