| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
33,090 |
0.920 |
$30,443.13 |
$6,702.88 |
+28.2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
32,810 |
0.915 |
$30,021.15 |
$5,587.67 |
+22.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
48,800 |
0.455 |
$22,204.20 |
$-4,941.53 |
-18.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
24,498 |
0.885 |
$21,680.30 |
$2,215.92 |
+11.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
27,851 |
0.775 |
$21,584.69 |
$1,392.56 |
+6.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
23,008 |
0.815 |
$18,749.03 |
$4,140.96 |
+28.3% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
16,753 |
0.915 |
$15,328.57 |
$1,082.58 |
+7.6% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
11,109 |
0.968 |
$10,753.77 |
$797.55 |
+8.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
15,999 |
0.640 |
$10,239.31 |
$-483.06 |
-4.5% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
9,297 |
0.920 |
$8,553.03 |
$3,420.33 |
+66.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
9,606 |
0.845 |
$8,116.75 |
$988.30 |
+13.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
9,024 |
0.855 |
$7,715.48 |
$1,629.28 |
+26.8% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
10,175 |
0.735 |
$7,478.26 |
$1,144.08 |
+18.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
25,835 |
0.265 |
$6,846.31 |
$-3,164.21 |
-31.6% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
15,961 |
0.415 |
$6,623.62 |
$-856.33 |
-11.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16,102 |
0.375 |
$6,038.37 |
$-298.02 |
-4.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
7,053 |
0.745 |
$5,254.32 |
$926.91 |
+21.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8,003 |
0.645 |
$5,162.22 |
$1,331.72 |
+34.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? |
No |
3,288 |
0.922 |
$3,031.90 |
$132.43 |
+4.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
No |
3,040 |
0.625 |
$1,900.21 |
$475.35 |
+33.4% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,093 |
0.815 |
$1,705.36 |
$76.56 |
+4.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
285 |
0.815 |
$232.06 |
$21.33 |
+10.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
232 |
0.710 |
$164.96 |
$11.58 |
+7.5% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
No |
99 |
0.915 |
$90.91 |
$8.35 |
+10.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.845 |
$4.85 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |