PnL (30d)

−$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

18W / 23L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

26W / 26L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

57

across 24 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.07

avg win $2 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.93

$15 won / $17 lost

Reward / Risk

0.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.9% 18W/23L	24	$80
🏛 Politics	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	20	0.810	$16.39	$1.53	+10.3%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	8	0.890	$6.70	$-0.15	-2.2%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	8	0.435	$3.38	$-0.81	-19.4%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.10	$0.00	+0.2%