| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
5,000 |
0.816 |
$4,077.50 |
$1,577.50 |
+63.1% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? |
Yes |
1,742 |
0.947 |
$1,648.45 |
$81.59 |
+5.2% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.955 |
$954.67 |
$34.99 |
+3.8% |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? |
Yes |
968 |
0.970 |
$938.93 |
$10.35 |
+1.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.184 |
$922.50 |
$-1,577.50 |
-63.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? |
Yes |
1,107 |
0.780 |
$863.52 |
$-139.33 |
-13.9% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.935 |
$654.50 |
$38.50 |
+6.2% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
79,976 |
0.006 |
$479.86 |
$-248.25 |
-34.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$12.50 |
+2.7% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.963 |
$336.88 |
$141.28 |
+72.2% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.991 |
$297.30 |
$13.70 |
+4.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
400 |
0.545 |
$218.00 |
$-3.18 |
-1.4% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
Anthropic |
125 |
0.820 |
$102.17 |
$9.97 |
+10.8% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$4.50 |
+5.3% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? |
No |
254 |
0.350 |
$88.84 |
$-29.04 |
-24.6% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
No |
92 |
0.855 |
$78.91 |
$23.53 |
+42.5% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
Yes |
256 |
0.275 |
$70.44 |
$-66.07 |
-48.4% |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.755 |
$45.30 |
$17.70 |
+64.1% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.900 |
$45.00 |
$13.00 |
+40.6% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
65 |
0.254 |
$16.47 |
$-23.94 |
-59.2% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.295 |
$11.21 |
$-5.51 |
-33.0% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
OpenAI |
100 |
0.105 |
$10.50 |
$-19.50 |
-65.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
28 |
0.365 |
$10.39 |
$-10.10 |
-49.3% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
5 |
0.895 |
$4.47 |
$0.97 |
+27.9% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.885 |
$4.42 |
$1.93 |
+77.0% |