| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
4 |
0.580 |
$2.48 |
$1.20 |
+93.3% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.140 |
$0.98 |
$-0.28 |
-22.2% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.044 |
$0.86 |
$-1.07 |
-55.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4 |
0.184 |
$0.65 |
$-0.29 |
-30.6% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? |
Yes |
6 |
0.085 |
$0.51 |
$-2.25 |
-81.5% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.046 |
$0.51 |
$-0.61 |
-54.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.088 |
$0.50 |
$0.17 |
+52.5% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15 |
0.030 |
$0.46 |
$0.10 |
+27.1% |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.074 |
$0.46 |
$-0.53 |
-53.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
22 |
0.021 |
$0.45 |
$0.06 |
+13.9% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
19 |
0.024 |
$0.44 |
$-1.47 |
-77.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.065 |
$0.43 |
$-0.63 |
-59.4% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15 |
0.024 |
$0.36 |
$0.06 |
+20.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
3 |
0.135 |
$0.35 |
$-0.06 |
-15.6% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.019 |
$0.30 |
$-3.44 |
-91.9% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.090 |
$0.29 |
$-0.03 |
-10.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.032 |
$0.16 |
$-0.11 |
-39.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7 |
0.021 |
$0.16 |
$-0.22 |
-58.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.040 |
$0.16 |
$-0.26 |
-62.7% |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.013 |
$0.09 |
$-0.02 |
-15.6% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.004 |
$0.03 |
$-0.12 |
-79.5% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
12 |
0.003 |
$0.03 |
$-0.18 |
-85.9% |