PnL (30d)

−$17

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-83.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

17%

1W / 5L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

2W / 5L

Trades (30d)

7

across 5 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$4.18

avg win $1 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.07

$1 won / $18 lost

Reward / Risk

0.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.7% 1W/5L	5	$20
⚽ Sports	—	1	$1

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	8	0.974	$7.58	$0.58	+8.2%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	6	0.781	$4.47	$3.47	+346.6%
US recession by end of 2026?	No	4	0.905	$3.88	$0.88	+29.4%
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?	No	2	0.978	$2.20	$0.20	+9.8%
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	2	0.995	$2.14	$0.14	+7.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	2	0.963	$2.10	$0.10	+5.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	16	0.114	$1.87	$-9.13	-83.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	2	0.886	$1.35	$0.35	+34.5%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	1	0.905	$1.15	$0.15	+14.6%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?	Up	1	0.660	$0.73	$-0.27	-27.5%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	1	0.215	$0.29	$-0.71	-70.9%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	2	0.105	$0.23	$-0.77	-76.7%