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Trader leaderboard/Jest55

Jest55

0xd34bf815245d5bcea098cb0ea17df360b5c50004
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$42
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$665
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
98%
40W / 1L · 88 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
113W / 16L
Trades (30d)
129
across 23 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$6.94
avg win $11 · loss $13
Profit Factor
4.11
$55 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
0.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $76,639 · all-time $5,419,334

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 77.1% 633W/188L 261 $144,198
💵 Economy 95.7% 22W/1L 60 $20,939
₿ Crypto 100.0% 22W/0L 59 $7,541
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $14,189
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/14L 2 $334

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

121 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 23,274 0.840 $19,550.16 $-562.60 -2.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 11,895 0.948 $11,276.58 $456.15 +4.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 20,083 0.519 $10,423.32 $-1,546.97 -12.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 6,000 0.961 $5,762.99 $179.33 +3.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 5,905 0.835 $4,930.63 $1,418.40 +40.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 7,080 0.385 $2,725.80 $-763.61 -21.9%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 6,118 0.385 $2,355.58 $-1,433.79 -37.8%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 3,500 0.605 $2,117.49 $107.50 +5.3%
New pandemic in 2026? No 1,811 0.935 $1,692.96 $107.69 +6.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 1,160 0.942 $1,092.14 $34.78 +3.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 1,433 0.755 $1,081.57 $71.75 +7.1%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026? No 1,112 0.971 $1,079.91 $-13.27 -1.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 1,100 0.935 $1,028.48 $111.75 +12.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 1,010 0.963 $972.12 $23.62 +2.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $170? Yes 1,015 0.948 $961.92 $-33.57 -3.4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $118? Yes 920 0.997 $916.78 $6.98 +0.8%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? No 922 0.994 $916.47 $10.73 +1.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 946 0.950 $898.23 $87.76 +10.8%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of August 3 2026? No 750 0.990 $742.12 $7.12 +1.0%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? No 702 0.946 $663.83 $82.83 +14.3%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No 680 0.956 $650.07 $35.28 +5.7%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026? No 557 0.994 $553.29 $8.96 +1.6%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? No 550 0.934 $513.70 $6.48 +1.3%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 510 0.983 $501.33 $15.18 +3.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? Yes 1,105 0.425 $469.61 $-126.07 -21.2%