PnL (30d)

+$49

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

73%

134W / 49L · 278 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

280W / 181L

Trades (30d)

461

across 49 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$1.39

avg win $11 · loss $55

Profit Factor

1.18

$325 won / $277 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	78.8% 5,853W/1,576L	293	$473,614
🏛 Politics	77.4% 209W/61L	43	$74,523
💵 Economy	76.8% 202W/61L	35	$64,698
🎬 Culture	100.0% 7W/0L	18	$3,126
🤖 Tech	100.0% 3W/0L	14	$2,493
🔬 Science	—	3	$275

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4,823	0.001	$2.41	$-148.30	-98.4%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4,767	0.001	$2.38	$-146.58	-98.4%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4,599	0.001	$2.30	$-141.41	-98.4%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4,599	0.001	$2.30	$-141.41	-98.4%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	4,263	0.001	$2.13	$-211.01	-99.0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,910	0.001	$1.46	$-89.49	-98.4%
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,283	0.001	$1.14	$-70.21	-98.4%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,220	0.001	$1.11	$-68.27	-98.4%
Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,145	0.001	$1.07	$-65.97	-98.4%
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,145	0.001	$1.07	$-65.97	-98.4%