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Trader leaderboard/bigticketchicken

bigticketchicken

0xd2aefe830ebe42d817a65c7b2bccab0ec362f36b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$66
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
10%
9W / 81L · 40 open
Win Return (30d)
8%
10W / 120L
Trades (30d)
130
across 11 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$8.26
avg win $5 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.07
$5 won / $71 lost
Reward / Risk
0.51
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,659 · all-time $1,159,257

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.6% 1,764W/2,108L 1063 $71,128
⚽ Sports 71.2% 232W/94L 99 $9,982
🏛 Politics 2 $703
₿ Crypto 2 $674
💵 Economy 1 $1
🎬 Culture 1 $30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Hanwha Life Esports 140 0.475 $66.50 $-15.00 -18.4%
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes 247 0.215 $53.14 $-3.47 -6.1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Dplus KIA 100 0.485 $48.49 $-0.50 -1.0%
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? Yes 198 0.220 $43.51 $5.31 +13.9%
Will G2 Esports Win More than 7.5 Matches in LEC 2026 Summer Split? U 7.5 80 0.500 $39.75 $-8.71 -18.0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 70 0.475 $33.25 $-5.85 -15.0%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 50 0.625 $31.25 $0.75 +2.5%
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United? Yes 469 0.062 $29.11 $-14.22 -32.8%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 102 0.235 $23.97 $-10.65 -30.8%
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes 141 0.140 $19.73 $-12.34 -38.5%
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 30 0.624 $18.70 $1.96 +11.7%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 45 0.405 $18.23 $-4.12 -18.5%
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 97 0.155 $15.04 $-0.40 -2.6%
Will Hanwha Life Esports Win KeSPA Cup 2026? Yes 119 0.091 $10.81 $-5.94 -35.5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 20 0.515 $10.30 $-0.90 -8.0%
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026? Yes 54 0.120 $6.48 $1.62 +33.3%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 10 0.595 $5.95 $-0.35 -5.6%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? No 10 0.316 $3.07 $-3.54 -53.5%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? No 280 0.004 $1.26 $-16.66 -93.0%
LoL: Lille Esport vs Galions Sharks (BO1) - Nexus League Regular Season Lille Esport 16 0.065 $1.02 $-4.05 -79.8%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? Yes 584 0.002 $0.88 $-169.42 -99.5%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next? Yes 136 0.001 $0.14 $-1.78 -92.9%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next? Yes 220 0.001 $0.11 $-1.47 -93.0%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes 2 0.015 $0.03 $-0.56 -94.2%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group Nongshim Red Force 58 0.001 $0.03 $-39.97 -99.9%