nightcrawler
0xd242076f22923056df04731f698e98422fc6ba4e
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+13.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
50%
1W / 1L
Trades (30d)
2
across 2 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$1.20
avg win $6 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.60
$6 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
1.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $185,379
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
20 |
0.963 |
$19.26 |
$2.26 |
+13.3% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
19 |
0.985 |
$18.71 |
$15.10 |
+418.2% |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? |
Yes |
20 |
0.036 |
$0.72 |
$-1.24 |
-63.3% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%? |
Yes |
19 |
0.015 |
$0.28 |
$-3.87 |
-93.4% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%? |
Yes |
19 |
0.014 |
$0.27 |
$-6.00 |
-95.8% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 10–20%? |
Yes |
19 |
0.002 |
$0.04 |
$-2.81 |
-98.7% |
| Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters? |
Yes |
20 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-2.40 |
-100.0% |