| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,704 |
0.987 |
$1,681.24 |
$53.91 |
+3.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,294 |
0.987 |
$1,276.14 |
$48.36 |
+3.9% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
123 |
0.997 |
$122.46 |
$4.95 |
+4.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
187 |
0.625 |
$117.15 |
$-15.93 |
-12.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
58 |
0.875 |
$50.57 |
$-0.29 |
-0.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
28 |
0.949 |
$26.57 |
$2.77 |
+11.6% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
26 |
0.949 |
$24.30 |
$2.52 |
+11.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
13 |
0.996 |
$12.94 |
$2.19 |
+20.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
19 |
0.615 |
$11.88 |
$0.10 |
+0.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
25 |
0.365 |
$9.12 |
$0.37 |
+4.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
10 |
0.825 |
$8.38 |
$0.66 |
+8.6% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.974 |
$4.87 |
$0.42 |
+9.4% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
41 |
0.075 |
$3.04 |
$-8.49 |
-73.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5 |
0.215 |
$1.09 |
$-3.16 |
-74.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.605 |
$0.64 |
$-0.00 |
-0.5% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
11 |
0.034 |
$0.38 |
$-3.68 |
-90.6% |