Log in
Trader leaderboard/Peasantfarmer

Peasantfarmer

0xd211a0bb544d025ed955c5e02bbbf65662dc6eaa
PnL (30d)
−$30
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$42
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
7W / 2L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
11W / 4L
Trades (30d)
15
across 15 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$3.31
avg win $3 · loss $25
Profit Factor
0.41
$20 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $10,973

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 77.8% 7W/2L 15 $147
🏛 Politics 1 $0
🎬 Culture 1 $0
🔬 Science 1 $0

Open positions

137 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 51 0.255 $13.08 $2.82 +27.5%
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes 74 0.175 $12.96 $2.59 +25.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 51 0.245 $12.56 $4.36 +53.1%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 85 0.140 $11.92 $1.70 +16.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 54 0.209 $11.36 $1.33 +13.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes 83 0.125 $10.42 $-4.59 -30.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes 30 0.343 $10.32 $5.32 +106.3%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 51 0.200 $10.26 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 98 0.102 $10.01 $0.24 +2.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 32 0.304 $9.59 $4.61 +92.4%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes 29 0.320 $9.14 $4.00 +77.8%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes 44 0.199 $8.77 $3.74 +74.6%
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 30 0.280 $8.37 $5.38 +180.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 67 0.125 $8.34 $-1.65 -16.5%
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes 65 0.125 $8.06 $-2.26 -21.9%
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes 27 0.295 $7.97 $3.11 +63.9%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes 57 0.125 $7.14 $-3.14 -30.6%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? Yes 74 0.095 $7.04 $-3.33 -32.1%
New pandemic in 2026? Yes 107 0.065 $6.93 $-5.87 -45.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 51 0.135 $6.92 $-3.33 -32.5%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 74 0.085 $6.29 $-4.07 -39.3%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes 50 0.125 $6.22 $-1.89 -23.3%
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes 47 0.130 $6.16 $-2.37 -27.8%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes 37 0.165 $6.11 $0.93 +17.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 52 0.117 $6.10 $-1.93 -24.0%