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Trader leaderboard/chefradish

chefradish

0xd1eed20edd22a289839379e89e3470ea1742a8ae
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$266
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$62
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-49.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
19W / 17L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
38
across 22 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$88.76
avg win $4 · loss $135
Profit Factor
0.01
$4 won / $270 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,828 · all-time $4,109,078

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 88.3% 364W/48L 95 $71,066
💵 Economy 96.2% 25W/1L 26 $13,297
₿ Crypto 83.3% 5W/1L 14 $3,883
🤖 Tech 100.0% 20W/0L 6 $7,381
⚽ Sports 5 $146
🏛 Politics 2 $220
🎬 Culture 1 $16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

77 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes 8,182 0.210 $1,718.28 $-20.70 -1.2%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 1,517 0.905 $1,373.11 $73.11 +5.6%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 1,986 0.455 $903.42 $304.44 +50.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? Yes 1,211 0.496 $601.25 $523.18 +670.2%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 1,004 0.595 $597.56 $-7.44 -1.2%
Will Micron (MU) close above $860 end of August? Yes 907 0.615 $557.53 $43.53 +8.5%
Will Micron (MU) close above $760 end of August? Yes 684 0.760 $519.63 $19.63 +3.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? No 538 0.955 $513.44 $13.44 +2.7%
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 521 0.939 $488.76 $-9.86 -2.0%
Will Micron (MU) close above $840 end of August? Yes 600 0.645 $387.00 $63.00 +19.4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 470 0.815 $382.61 $-2.39 -0.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August? No 299 0.968 $289.78 $7.78 +2.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? Yes 333 0.870 $289.78 $244.27 +536.8%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? Yes 333 0.860 $286.06 $24.06 +9.2%
Will Micron (MU) close above $700 end of August? Yes 300 0.845 $253.50 $19.50 +8.3%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes 2,735 0.076 $209.21 $9.21 +4.6%
Will Micron (MU) close at >$900 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 477 0.425 $202.80 $26.80 +15.2%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 449 0.445 $199.60 $35.60 +21.7%
Will Micron (MU) close above $820 end of August? Yes 300 0.665 $199.50 $34.50 +20.9%
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? No 208 0.925 $192.94 $-7.06 -3.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 2,739 0.070 $192.83 $25.58 +15.3%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No 195 0.940 $183.37 $0.37 +0.2%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 265 0.550 $145.89 $4.89 +3.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? No 119 0.993 $118.47 $1.47 +1.3%
Will Micron (MU) close above $740 end of August? Yes 159 0.735 $116.52 $-13.48 -10.4%