PnL (30d)

−$227

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$24

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

4,706W / 2,068L · 541 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

5,079W / 2,234L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

7,315

across 476 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

−$0.54

avg win $6 · loss $25

Profit Factor

0.89

$1,891 won / $2,118 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$590

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.7% 35,246W/21,859L	4289	$5,541,057
⚽ Sports	45.3% 1,332W/1,608L	570	$756,329
🌤 Weather	57.7% 2,012W/1,474L	305	$32,291

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5?	No	958	1.000	$957.46	$60.17	+6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?	No	803	1.000	$802.87	$124.21	+18.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5?	No	747	1.000	$746.70	$32.69	+4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	No	734	1.000	$733.30	$18.34	+2.6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5?	No	609	1.000	$608.22	$17.73	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	592	1.000	$591.54	$404.64	+216.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5?	No	540	0.920	$496.86	$44.78	+9.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?	No	491	1.000	$490.96	$93.79	+23.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	No	462	1.000	$461.83	$206.57	+80.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	420	1.000	$420.05	$42.08	+11.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	No	356	1.000	$355.62	$37.83	+11.9%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?	No	345	0.950	$327.41	$11.79	+3.7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5?	No	313	0.910	$285.04	$6.80	+2.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	No	358	0.785	$281.13	$-28.50	-9.2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	No	294	0.910	$267.68	$10.60	+4.1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	288	0.890	$256.33	$-4.42	-1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	No	261	0.970	$253.01	$17.44	+7.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	251	1.000	$250.84	$29.07	+13.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5?	No	244	1.000	$244.05	$1.68	+0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	No	263	0.785	$206.15	$-0.70	-0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5?	No	206	1.000	$205.74	$23.70	+13.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5?	No	178	1.000	$177.70	$28.21	+18.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	No	177	1.000	$177.07	$2.95	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5?	No	173	1.000	$173.04	$6.30	+3.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	170	0.975	$165.50	$8.48	+5.4%