PnL (30d)

−$50

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

510W / 114L · 359 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

632W / 255L · 96 open

Trades (30d)

983

across 444 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.26

avg win $1 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.75

$151 won / $202 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$19

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	85.0% 40,996W/7,220L	24120	$455,259
⚽ Sports	76.0% 1,622W/513L	2132	$32,812
🌤 Weather	87.7% 1,474W/207L	1189	$5,591
🏛 Politics	73.1% 68W/25L	478	$15,144
🎬 Culture	82.0% 241W/53L	321	$2,987
💵 Economy	86.3% 170W/27L	175	$2,208
🤖 Tech	62.1% 36W/22L	131	$893
₿ Crypto	63.6% 21W/12L	59	$196

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

198 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?	Yes	26	0.448	$11.86	$10.30	+661.6%
Will Juan Manuel Cerundolo Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	36	0.245	$8.73	$8.35	+2203.0%
Will Ignacio Buse Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	32	0.245	$7.91	$7.57	+2203.0%
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	21	0.360	$7.56	$6.90	+1052.0%
Will Flavio Cobolli Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.155	$6.04	$5.62	+1357.0%
Will Jenson Brooksby Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	32	0.175	$5.65	$5.31	+1545.0%
Will Botic van de Zandschulp Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Casper Ruud Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Cameron Norrie Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Nuno Borges Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Jesper de Jong Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Sebastian Baez Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Zizou Bergs Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Jan Choinski Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Tommy Paul Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Matteo Berrettini Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Jaume Munar Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Learner Tien Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Raphael Collignon Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Denis Shapovalov Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Sebastian Korda Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Daniel Altmaier Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%
Will Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	39	0.145	$5.65	$5.23	+1263.0%