| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
No |
7,280 |
0.901 |
$6,562.81 |
$289.30 |
+4.6% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? |
No |
5,702 |
0.640 |
$3,649.29 |
$830.69 |
+29.5% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? |
No |
1,634 |
0.986 |
$1,609.86 |
$372.27 |
+30.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? |
Yes |
1,884 |
0.780 |
$1,469.37 |
$-69.66 |
-4.5% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? |
No |
593 |
0.925 |
$548.95 |
$46.52 |
+9.3% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? |
No |
607 |
0.495 |
$300.22 |
$13.12 |
+4.6% |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
425 |
0.570 |
$242.11 |
$15.23 |
+6.7% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? |
Yes |
488 |
0.445 |
$217.07 |
$17.07 |
+8.5% |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? |
Yes |
966 |
0.205 |
$198.03 |
$-30.20 |
-13.2% |
| Will Tim Wilkins be the FL-11 Republican nominee? |
No |
189 |
0.940 |
$177.88 |
$2.38 |
+1.4% |
| California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition |
No |
261 |
0.630 |
$164.17 |
$51.95 |
+46.3% |
| Reckless Ben in jail by December 31? |
Yes |
1,133 |
0.135 |
$152.89 |
$-14.82 |
-8.8% |
| Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee? |
No |
362 |
0.345 |
$124.85 |
$6.75 |
+5.7% |
| Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31? |
No |
140 |
0.890 |
$124.27 |
$1.32 |
+1.1% |
| Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
564 |
0.215 |
$121.26 |
$19.17 |
+18.8% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? |
Yes |
199 |
0.555 |
$110.55 |
$38.90 |
+54.3% |
| Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? |
Yes |
253 |
0.375 |
$94.96 |
$42.82 |
+82.1% |
| Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? |
Yes |
613 |
0.134 |
$82.13 |
$24.34 |
+42.1% |
| Will Arnaldinho Borgo win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? |
No |
84 |
0.964 |
$81.41 |
$4.62 |
+6.0% |
| Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026? |
No |
83 |
0.930 |
$77.28 |
$2.38 |
+3.2% |
| Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? |
No |
79 |
0.953 |
$75.69 |
$2.46 |
+3.4% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? |
No |
148 |
0.455 |
$67.26 |
$52.77 |
+364.3% |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? |
No |
92 |
0.705 |
$65.10 |
$1.74 |
+2.8% |
| Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat? |
Yes |
64 |
0.945 |
$60.45 |
$1.45 |
+2.5% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
604 |
0.100 |
$60.44 |
$24.37 |
+67.6% |