Log in
Trader leaderboard/Talophex

Talophex

0xd0db79306c38e8ce1969ce80dde58fa67a67b117
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$25
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$64
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
73W / 2L · 59 open
Win Return (30d)
80%
107W / 26L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
134
across 28 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$1.56
avg win $8 · loss $46
Profit Factor
1.27
$118 won / $93 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,443 · all-time $3,029,889

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 96.1% 365W/15L 148 $220,434
🏛 Politics 14 $7,814
₿ Crypto 100.0% 5W/0L 9 $2,936
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 8 $1,956
🤖 Tech 2 $337
🎬 Culture 1 $220

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US military draft authorized in 2026? No 16,211 0.954 $15,456.87 $426.19 +2.8%
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No 11,028 0.982 $10,824.26 $482.55 +4.7%
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No 9,514 0.950 $9,038.67 $94.00 +1.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 7,438 0.979 $7,278.44 $64.65 +0.9%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 6,000 0.966 $5,792.99 $36.85 +0.6%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 5,582 0.945 $5,274.90 $207.29 +4.1%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 5,650 0.900 $5,084.99 $122.44 +2.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 5,000 0.973 $4,864.99 $55.51 +1.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 5,000 0.945 $4,724.99 $336.43 +7.7%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No 4,756 0.945 $4,494.71 $61.25 +1.4%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No 4,584 0.910 $4,171.47 $54.36 +1.3%
New pandemic in 2026? No 4,250 0.935 $3,973.74 $43.76 +1.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 3,990 0.980 $3,910.53 $67.36 +1.8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 3,896 0.895 $3,486.55 $-61.48 -1.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No 3,405 0.945 $3,217.46 $17.02 +0.5%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 3,600 0.885 $3,186.00 $-89.99 -2.7%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 3,242 0.963 $3,120.71 $131.03 +4.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 3,500 0.845 $2,957.49 $-37.49 -1.3%
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No 3,000 0.955 $2,864.99 $75.01 +2.7%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 2,945 0.954 $2,808.06 $50.39 +1.8%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,500 0.935 $2,337.50 $37.50 +1.6%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No 2,500 0.933 $2,333.78 $-15.41 -0.7%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 2,000 0.905 $1,810.00 $90.00 +5.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? No 1,555 0.961 $1,493.58 $26.33 +1.8%
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? No 1,142 0.925 $1,056.19 $15.71 +1.5%