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Trader leaderboard/pantomime

pantomime

0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3,994
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3,599
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
75W / 10L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
86W / 28L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
116
across 16 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$570.57
avg win $1,066 · loss $90
Profit Factor
15.79
$4,264 won / $270 lost
Reward / Risk
11.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $57,993 · all-time $22,043,564

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.3% 305W/399L 42 $225,369
🏛 Politics 100.0% 8W/0L 8 $9,362
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 1 $194
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $898

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 54,000 0.540 $29,187.00 $2,187.00 +8.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 54,000 0.460 $24,813.00 $-2,187.00 -8.1%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 21,970 0.875 $19,224.16 $109.85 +0.6%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 4,000 0.839 $3,354.00 $-58.00 -1.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 2,188 0.952 $2,081.88 $570.38 +37.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 29,576 0.049 $1,434.46 $-3,848.43 -72.8%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 5,000 0.215 $1,075.00 $-425.00 -28.3%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,028 0.730 $750.67 $164.53 +28.1%
Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? No 676 0.942 $636.55 $54.19 +9.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 980 0.555 $544.12 $63.73 +13.3%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 893 0.162 $144.15 $28.49 +24.6%
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 189 0.705 $133.05 $-11.87 -8.2%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 101 0.890 $89.84 $26.25 +41.3%
Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 49 0.647 $31.65 $-6.92 -17.9%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 25 0.495 $12.38 $3.38 +37.5%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 1 0.220 $0.24 $-0.03 -12.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? No 4 0.002 $0.01 $-1.34 -99.5%