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Trader leaderboard/Tsubasa

Tsubasa

0xcfde61eb95f05b384c96a021028c90c1d26f4006
PnL (30d)
+$979
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+41.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
71W / 20L · 51 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
101W / 35L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
142
across 58 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$28.78
avg win $49 · loss $20
Profit Factor
5.79
$1,183 won / $204 lost
Reward / Risk
2.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $791 · all-time $239,876

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.0% 71W/20L 58 $3,446
₿ Crypto 6 $137
💵 Economy 5 $92
🤖 Tech 4 $70
🏛 Politics 4 $27
🎬 Culture 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Discord IPO before 2027? No 1,106 0.705 $779.48 $275.80 +54.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 86 0.942 $80.97 $1.12 +1.4%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 70 0.885 $61.95 $19.05 +44.4%
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 253 0.208 $52.62 $-7.61 -12.6%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $6.70 +17.7%
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No 40 0.715 $28.60 $-1.40 -4.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 330 0.085 $28.05 $-12.85 -31.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200 0.135 $26.90 $4.35 +19.3%
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 50 0.505 $25.25 $0.85 +3.5%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 30 0.835 $25.05 $0.15 +0.6%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 30 0.795 $23.85 $0.45 +1.9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.209 $20.95 $3.35 +19.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 460 0.045 $20.70 $-66.60 -76.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 50 0.400 $20.00 $-12.50 -38.5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9? No 20 0.960 $19.20 $0.18 +0.9%
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 30 0.595 $17.85 $-0.75 -4.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 140 0.115 $16.10 $-16.70 -50.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 160 0.075 $12.00 $-7.20 -37.5%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? No 30 0.345 $10.45 $0.15 +1.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 30 0.345 $10.35 $-6.75 -39.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? No 20 0.513 $10.27 $-8.39 -45.0%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 13 0.675 $9.07 $1.55 +20.5%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 20 0.350 $7.00 $0.20 +2.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 30 0.195 $5.85 $-2.85 -32.8%
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No 50 0.109 $5.45 $-2.15 -28.3%