| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
701 |
0.915 |
$641.41 |
$66.20 |
+11.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,520 |
0.405 |
$615.60 |
$-3.60 |
-0.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.278 |
$554.99 |
$100.55 |
+22.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,050 |
0.460 |
$482.48 |
$48.62 |
+11.2% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
662 |
0.600 |
$396.93 |
$-59.38 |
-13.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
498 |
0.775 |
$385.91 |
$0.39 |
+0.1% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
402 |
0.902 |
$362.53 |
$132.19 |
+57.4% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
Yes |
2,426 |
0.145 |
$351.77 |
$5.31 |
+1.5% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
407 |
0.852 |
$346.76 |
$5.29 |
+1.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
302 |
0.945 |
$285.39 |
$19.35 |
+7.3% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
705 |
0.345 |
$243.28 |
$-35.72 |
-12.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
220 |
0.945 |
$207.90 |
$23.27 |
+12.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,401 |
0.085 |
$204.09 |
$-19.70 |
-8.8% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
210 |
0.963 |
$202.28 |
$9.25 |
+4.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.875 |
$201.25 |
$0.75 |
+0.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.655 |
$196.50 |
$-12.10 |
-5.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
310 |
0.620 |
$192.24 |
$-27.30 |
-12.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.957 |
$191.30 |
$13.70 |
+7.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.635 |
$190.50 |
$-6.10 |
-3.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
210 |
0.885 |
$185.85 |
$1.05 |
+0.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.886 |
$177.30 |
$4.00 |
+2.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
203 |
0.845 |
$171.80 |
$8.07 |
+4.9% |
| Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
128 |
0.968 |
$123.87 |
$2.30 |
+1.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.945 |
$113.40 |
$13.80 |
+13.9% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.977 |
$107.42 |
$17.21 |
+19.1% |