PnL (30d)

+$3,036

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$393

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+13.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

190W / 245L · 107 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

277W / 265L

Trades (30d)

542

across 148 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$25.95

avg win $116 · loss $57

Profit Factor

1.87

$6,510 won / $3,474 lost

Reward / Risk

2.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$404

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.7% 190W/245L	148	$28,862
💵 Economy	40.9% 18W/26L	36	$3,839

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	3,000	0.165	$495.00	$-276.89	-35.9%
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	586	0.730	$427.93	$93.39	+27.9%
Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	400	0.855	$342.00	$30.00	+9.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	1,100	0.305	$335.50	$27.50	+8.9%
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	300	0.920	$276.00	$84.00	+43.8%
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	489	0.555	$271.39	$-7.33	-2.6%
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	724	0.355	$257.01	$52.54	+25.7%
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	300	0.825	$247.50	$31.50	+14.6%
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	918	0.225	$206.54	$-9.09	-4.2%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	558	0.359	$200.38	$107.40	+115.5%
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?	No	330	0.560	$184.80	$33.00	+21.7%
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	300	0.615	$184.50	$34.50	+23.0%
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	255	0.670	$170.84	$6.40	+3.9%
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	500	0.300	$149.99	$10.00	+7.1%
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	296	0.505	$149.48	$24.36	+19.5%
Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	1,008	0.125	$125.94	$-49.69	-28.3%
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?	No	200	0.595	$119.00	$-1.00	-0.8%
Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	233	0.485	$113.00	$-1.17	-1.0%
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	401	0.240	$96.19	$16.03	+20.0%
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	94	0.860	$81.24	$10.39	+14.7%
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	150	0.510	$76.50	$16.50	+27.5%
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	No	295	0.215	$63.42	$-6.91	-9.8%
Will Etoro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	150	0.400	$60.00	$15.00	+33.3%
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	56	0.850	$47.26	$2.78	+6.2%
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	121	0.325	$39.46	$-19.96	-33.6%