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Trader

0xcfca142138af18226c8c0462216c420370829722
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$107
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-100.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 5L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
7W / 6L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
16
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$35.58
· loss $36
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $107 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,672 · all-time $155,523

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.0% 49W/21L 42 $7,338
⚽ Sports 5 $593
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $392
🏛 Politics 3 $507
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $20
🤖 Tech 1 $288

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 1,369 0.989 $1,353.43 $323.31 +31.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,167 0.915 $1,067.98 $365.97 +52.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 705 0.955 $673.28 $102.23 +17.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 400 0.945 $378.00 $74.00 +24.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,100 0.335 $368.50 $16.50 +4.7%
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 No 430 0.745 $320.35 $21.03 +7.0%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? No 270 0.873 $235.57 $25.66 +12.2%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 510 0.461 $234.84 $-44.72 -16.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 299 0.695 $207.80 $21.43 +11.5%
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? No 201 0.985 $198.30 $37.42 +23.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 250 0.790 $197.62 $-0.38 -0.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,888 0.075 $141.61 $-77.95 -35.5%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 542 0.210 $113.81 $-110.34 -49.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 211 0.485 $102.33 $-11.60 -10.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.505 $101.00 $5.43 +5.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 100 0.972 $97.15 $11.15 +13.0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.900 $90.00 $28.00 +45.2%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? Yes 302 0.280 $84.45 $27.14 +47.4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Hanwha Life Esports 150 0.505 $75.75 $-1.25 -1.6%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.048 $47.50 $-162.50 -77.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.920 $36.40 $2.37 +7.0%
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? No 1,420 0.024 $33.37 $-46.05 -58.0%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 25 0.954 $23.84 $3.09 +14.9%
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No 30 0.720 $21.59 $0.30 +1.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100 0.143 $14.35 $6.85 +91.3%