Trader
0xcfc4a3ba2e011bc9adea9d686f92e36f393e6f2d
PnL (30d)
−$2
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
1W / 4L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
3W / 18L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
29
across 16 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.80
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.01
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $541 · all-time $1,047,216
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1,300 |
0.952 |
$1,236.96 |
$27.67 |
+2.3% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.290 |
$1.89 |
$-1.66 |
-46.8% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.677 |
$0.74 |
$-0.26 |
-26.4% |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.215 |
$0.24 |
$-0.76 |
-76.4% |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.165 |
$0.18 |
$-0.82 |
-82.4% |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.125 |
$0.16 |
$-0.84 |
-84.2% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.110 |
$0.15 |
$-0.85 |
-84.9% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? |
Yes |
1 |
0.100 |
$0.12 |
$-0.88 |
-88.0% |