PnL (30d)

−$130

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$114

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-19.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

38W / 53L · 42 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

64W / 69L

Trades (30d)

133

across 24 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$8.65

avg win $2 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.09

$12 won / $142 lost

Reward / Risk

0.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.8% 38W/53L	24	$1,576
💵 Economy	—	1	$48

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	40	0.180	$7.20	$-2.60	-26.5%
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	No	40	0.175	$7.00	$-11.60	-62.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	33	0.105	$3.50	$-2.72	-43.8%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	14	0.177	$2.40	$-2.60	-52.0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	12	0.106	$1.27	$-2.75	-68.4%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	20	0.054	$1.09	$-2.71	-71.3%