| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
6,660 |
0.955 |
$6,360.13 |
$112.65 |
+1.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6,172 |
0.925 |
$5,709.19 |
$193.20 |
+3.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
3,905 |
0.973 |
$3,797.19 |
$298.79 |
+8.5% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,900 |
0.915 |
$3,568.25 |
$140.28 |
+4.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
3,694 |
0.910 |
$3,361.48 |
$173.52 |
+5.4% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
2,362 |
0.855 |
$2,019.42 |
$4.31 |
+0.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,047 |
0.975 |
$1,994.43 |
$25.04 |
+1.3% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
2,370 |
0.790 |
$1,871.99 |
$759.98 |
+68.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
No |
1,996 |
0.935 |
$1,865.85 |
$165.86 |
+9.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,883 |
0.930 |
$1,752.58 |
$31.72 |
+1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,445 |
0.972 |
$1,403.48 |
$28.49 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,646 |
0.675 |
$1,110.93 |
$-3.28 |
-0.3% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? |
No |
1,129 |
0.971 |
$1,095.87 |
$2.38 |
+0.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
1,170 |
0.920 |
$1,076.64 |
$76.64 |
+7.7% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,246 |
0.855 |
$1,065.26 |
$65.26 |
+6.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
1,095 |
0.955 |
$1,045.69 |
$145.69 |
+16.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,008 |
0.987 |
$994.41 |
$16.44 |
+1.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,044 |
0.865 |
$903.10 |
$15.66 |
+1.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,103 |
0.737 |
$812.71 |
$-29.37 |
-3.5% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
825 |
0.935 |
$771.11 |
$19.11 |
+2.5% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
1,596 |
0.394 |
$628.89 |
$-1.00 |
-0.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,096 |
0.539 |
$591.44 |
$39.19 |
+7.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
676 |
0.855 |
$577.70 |
$77.70 |
+15.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
782 |
0.725 |
$567.22 |
$-6.77 |
-1.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
1,727 |
0.285 |
$491.90 |
$-208.10 |
-29.7% |