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try1moretime

0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$636
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$87
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
26W / 75L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
44W / 82L
Trades (30d)
126
across 38 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$21.20
avg win $42 · loss $53
Profit Factor
0.40
$419 won / $1,055 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,657 · all-time $786,660

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 24.5% 102W/315L 279 $21,972
🏛 Politics 13.6% 8W/51L 53 $2,901
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $784

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? Yes 685 0.980 $670.79 $48.08 +7.7%
Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election? No 600 0.985 $591.00 $135.00 +29.6%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 620 0.925 $573.50 $20.90 +3.8%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? No 1,420 0.356 $506.12 $41.48 +8.9%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.915 $457.50 $44.50 +10.8%
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 430 0.997 $428.49 $22.11 +5.4%
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 350 0.885 $309.75 $3.75 +1.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 300 0.997 $298.95 $55.66 +22.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 300 0.992 $297.63 $80.58 +37.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 300 0.991 $297.30 $261.30 +725.8%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 300 0.987 $296.10 $17.70 +6.4%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? No 616 0.480 $295.67 $9.69 +3.4%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? Yes 300 0.977 $293.10 $23.10 +8.6%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 300 0.977 $292.95 $22.75 +8.4%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 300 0.968 $290.40 $127.20 +77.9%
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No 300 0.935 $280.50 $5.50 +2.0%
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No 300 0.880 $264.19 $3.15 +1.2%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 300 0.855 $256.50 $58.50 +29.5%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 250 0.968 $242.00 $114.71 +90.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 500 0.460 $229.75 $21.75 +10.5%
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? Yes 250 0.871 $217.77 $3.00 +1.4%
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election? Yes 241 0.895 $215.62 $18.07 +9.1%
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 277 0.775 $214.68 $10.75 +5.3%
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 213 0.965 $205.40 $3.45 +1.7%
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 204 0.983 $200.77 $42.16 +26.6%