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Trader

0xce305d7fc93e0e1f2271e55b5f03e63748b63760
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$24
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+125.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
85W / 48L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
85W / 50L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
142
across 45 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.60
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
5.28
$29 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
7.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,162 · all-time $1,393,673

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.9% 1,360W/1,163L 938 $1,616
⚽ Sports 37.6% 74W/123L 109 $88
🌤 Weather 65.2% 43W/23L 24 $25
₿ Crypto 81.8% 9W/2L 5 $7
🏛 Politics 3 $3
🎬 Culture 100.0% 7W/0L 3 $3
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $1
🔬 Science 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5 Under 7 0.520 $3.57 $3.16 +766.7%
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra: O/U 5.5 Over 5 0.470 $2.35 $1.90 +422.2%
FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 0.5 Under 17 0.085 $1.40 $0.67 +91.6%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 5 0.264 $1.32 $1.31 +13098.8%
Will MrBeast say "Sleep" or "Sleeping" during his next YouTube video? No 2 0.125 $0.24 $0.22 +1149.9%
Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 0.5 Under 10 0.021 $0.21 $-0.38 -65.0%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Yes 2 0.100 $0.20 $0.10 +100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 7? Yes 11 0.013 $0.15 $-0.07 -32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 7? Yes 22 0.004 $0.09 $-0.13 -60.0%
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 5 0.015 $0.07 $0.07 +650.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 7? Yes 22 0.002 $0.04 $-0.17 -80.0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Hanwha Life Esports 13 0.001 $0.01 $-0.55 -98.8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 7 0.001 $0.00 $-0.42 -99.2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 7 0.001 $0.00 $-0.42 -99.2%
Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 22 0.000 $0.00 $-0.19 -99.9%