| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
50,000 |
0.866 |
$43,275.00 |
$18,275.00 |
+73.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.135 |
$6,725.00 |
$-18,275.00 |
-73.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
9,452 |
0.455 |
$4,300.69 |
$-142.22 |
-3.2% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
2,779 |
0.986 |
$2,739.13 |
$90.30 |
+3.4% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
3,061 |
0.839 |
$2,568.04 |
$204.90 |
+8.7% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
1,111 |
0.952 |
$1,056.90 |
$-1.49 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? |
No |
1,000 |
0.997 |
$996.50 |
$-2.50 |
-0.3% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? |
No |
574 |
0.915 |
$525.48 |
$49.32 |
+10.4% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,091 |
0.325 |
$354.51 |
$-17.61 |
-4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
338 |
0.969 |
$327.24 |
$0.97 |
+0.3% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
814 |
0.385 |
$313.47 |
$21.41 |
+7.3% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? |
Yes |
296 |
0.997 |
$295.46 |
$-0.23 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? |
No |
256 |
0.996 |
$254.98 |
$-0.72 |
-0.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
251 |
0.885 |
$222.49 |
$6.28 |
+2.9% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
141 |
0.945 |
$133.59 |
$5.94 |
+4.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
89 |
0.984 |
$87.20 |
$6.16 |
+7.6% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting? |
No |
64 |
0.987 |
$63.07 |
$5.69 |
+9.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? |
No |
75 |
0.690 |
$51.74 |
$-1.51 |
-2.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
7 |
0.996 |
$6.66 |
$0.58 |
+9.4% |