| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
17 |
0.984 |
$16.52 |
$1.07 |
+6.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
16 |
0.830 |
$13.13 |
$3.87 |
+41.8% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.855 |
$12.09 |
$-0.07 |
-0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
13 |
0.855 |
$11.07 |
$2.69 |
+32.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.775 |
$10.17 |
$-0.02 |
-0.2% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.800 |
$7.34 |
$-0.42 |
-5.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
9 |
0.835 |
$7.24 |
$3.34 |
+85.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
8 |
0.785 |
$6.23 |
$0.12 |
+2.0% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.960 |
$5.16 |
$0.11 |
+2.1% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.770 |
$3.42 |
$-0.13 |
-3.8% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.940 |
$2.81 |
$0.01 |
+0.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.770 |
$2.31 |
$0.66 |
+40.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.481 |
$2.23 |
$-1.48 |
-39.9% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.920 |
$1.74 |
$0.06 |
+3.4% |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.957 |
$1.71 |
$0.02 |
+0.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.160 |
$1.43 |
$-3.50 |
-70.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.215 |
$0.83 |
$-1.25 |
-60.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.115 |
$0.38 |
$-1.37 |
-78.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
3 |
0.095 |
$0.32 |
$-1.81 |
-85.2% |