PnL (30d)

+$1,862

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$307

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

88%

996W / 139L · 57 open

Win Return (30d)

85%

1,013W / 178L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,192

across 158 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$12.93

avg win $26 · loss $168

Profit Factor

2.11

$3,540 won / $1,678 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$686

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.8% 996W/139L	158	$105,467
⚽ Sports	98.2% 557W/10L	54	$34,296
🎬 Culture	100.0% 12W/0L	8	$1,293
🏛 Politics	100.0% 7W/0L	7	$7,838

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	1,600	0.920	$1,471.99	$144.00	+10.8%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?	No	1,400	0.933	$1,306.20	$-35.00	-2.6%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	1,000	0.984	$983.49	$39.20	+4.2%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	900	0.922	$830.25	$-7.35	-0.9%
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?	Yes	900	0.711	$639.44	$-184.15	-22.4%
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?	Yes	610	0.985	$600.85	$52.10	+9.5%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	100	0.987	$98.65	$8.15	+9.0%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	100	0.945	$94.50	$2.50	+2.7%
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	52	0.993	$51.36	$1.24	+2.5%
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	20	0.989	$19.78	$1.20	+6.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	1,300	0.007	$9.75	$-1,175.25	-99.2%