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Trader

0xcd8f046d7e9375efee96026473dd656ec78c1f24
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$36
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
51W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
51W / 0L
Trades (30d)
51
across 23 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.54
avg win $2
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,715 · all-time $517,541

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 86.6% 188W/29L 124 $30,704
💵 Economy 8 $129
🌤 Weather 100.0% 20W/0L 8 $2,609
🤖 Tech 4 $54
₿ Crypto 4 $75

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5? No 801 0.994 $795.79 $-3.80 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5? No 201 1.000 $200.90 $0.10 +0.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 100 0.985 $98.45 $48.45 +96.9%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? No 100 0.725 $72.49 $-11.50 -13.7%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? No 50 0.685 $34.25 $-6.25 -15.4%
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch No 53 0.630 $33.44 $-14.60 -30.4%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in August? No 40 0.762 $30.63 $-5.15 -14.4%
GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launch No 30 0.820 $24.68 $-2.11 -7.9%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? Yes 33 0.055 $1.81 $-0.49 -21.4%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.015 $1.55 $-48.45 -96.9%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes 25 0.061 $1.52 $0.07 +5.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 20 0.012 $0.24 $-0.16 -40.0%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? Yes 5 0.025 $0.12 $0.07 +127.1%